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The US stock market may be fresh off its most boring stretch in more than five decades, but there are still stocks that give investors nightmares.

In a client note on Wednesday, the derivatives team at Goldman Sachs identified 15 companies that traders see as having elevated downside risk over the next 12 months. 

To single out the most-feared stocks in its coverage universe, Goldman looked at two measures:

  • 12-month implied volatility — The estimated price swing for a stock over the next year. Calculated using the price of options
  • 12-month skew — The degree to which investors are hedging against losses in a stock, relative to bets on gains. Calculated using the implied volatility spread between one-year put and call contracts

In order to qualify for Goldman’s “most-feared” list, a stock had to have been in the 40th percentile or above for each of these measures over the past year. The firm then ranked those 15 companies in order of 12-month normalized skew percentile.

The following charts show just how much more worry has been baked into these 15 companies over the past year, based on the two measures listed above:

Screen Shot 2017 05 17 at 9.57.45 AM

 

SEE ALSO: Traders are using a clever trick to make money from the most boring market in years

15. Xylem

Ticker: XYL

Sector: Industrials

Performance over last 12 months: +19.2%

12-Month Skew Percentile: 42

Click here for a real-time Xylem chart.

 

14. Manitowoc Company

Ticker: MTW

Sector: Industrials

Performance over last 12 months: +0.3%

12-Month Skew Percentile: 43

Click here for a real-time Manitowoc chart.

13. Macerich Co.

Ticker: MAC

Sector: Real Estate

Performance over last 12 months: -24.2%

12-Month Skew Percentile: 43

Click here for a real-time Macerich chart.

See the rest of the story at Business Insider