FILE PHOTO: A video sign displays the logo for Roku Inc, a Fox-backed video streaming firm, in Times Square after the company's IPO at the Nasdaq Market in New York, U.S., September 28, 2017. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

  • Roku gained its biggest Wall Street bull yet when Laura Martin of Needham increased her price target to $200 on Tuesday, a 47% upside from Monday’s close.
  • Shares of Roku spiked as much as 7% on the news. 
  • Martin wrote that investment risks for Roku are falling and called it the YouTube of TV and films. 
  • Watch Roku trade live on Markets Insider.

Shares of Roku surged as much as 7% Tuesday after gaining its biggest bullish rating from Wall Street. 

On Tuesday, Laura Martin of Needham raised her price target to $200 for the company, which represents a 47% upside from Monday’s close of $136 per share. It’s the highest price target any analyst has for Roku, according to Bloomberg data. 

The main reason for Martin’s increased target price is falling risks for Roku. “In 2020, Roku’s key upside valuation driver will be accelerating subscription SVOD revenues, which lowers investment risk,” she wrote in a Tuesday note. 

Martin also wrote that Roku should be valued as an internet aggregator, like YouTube, iOS and Android, and are in their respective industries. “YouTube is the winning aggregator of user-generated videos and Roku will be the winning aggregator of TV and films,” Martin wrote. 

Roku is well positioned because of its installed base of 40% of US connected-TV homes, Martin said. That makes it a “key gatekeeper” for any streaming service trying to get new subscribers as they “must spend more ad dollars on Roku or risk ignoring 40% of connected TV homes that their competitors are reaching,” Martin wrote.

Roku’s stock price has nearly tripled in 2019, Martin wrote. While it’s unclear if that level of growth will continue, Martin sees several drivers for the company in 2020, especially as the streaming wars heat up. 

“Where does $70B of US linear TV ad revenue go in 2020 as young wealthy US viewers spend more time behind pay walls with zero ads? Roku is our answer,” she wrote. That’s because Roku is the largest aggregator of ad-driven TV and film content and is expected to report roughly $850 million of total advertising revenue in 2020, according to the report. 

Martin’s upgrade of Roku, which she’s long been bullish on, comes just a day after Morgan Stanley downgraded shares of the company citing valuation concerns. That sent Roku down as much as 16%. 

Roku has a consensus price target of $144.82 and 13 “buy” ratings, two “hold” ratings, and three “sell” ratings, according to Bloomberg data. 

Roku is up 344% year-to-date through Monday’s close.


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